NUMBER PLAYBOOK 05
Probability Basics Without Myths
Understand randomness, independence and why recent results do not control the next result.

Understand randomness, independence and why recent results do not control the next result.
The essential idea
Random events can produce streaks without creating a reliable next-step signal. A recent run of one result does not force the opposite result to appear.
A practical method
Probability describes long-run frequency under defined conditions; it does not guarantee a particular short sequence.
Use the skill responsibly
Use probability knowledge to set realistic expectations and keep play educational, time-limited and free.
Patterns are useful for learning; random outcomes remain random.
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